About the river

Overview

Figure 1. The Colorado River Basin. (Image: Center for Colorado River Studies, Utah State University, adapted from Reclamation)

The Colorado River is a vital source of water, hydropower, recreation, ecosystem services, and other amenities for people in the seven basin states (Colorado, Wyoming, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, and California), over two dozen federally recognized tribes, and Mexico. About 75% of the river system's water goes to agriculture, supporting over 5 million acres of irrigated crops and pasture, while much of the remainder goes to the 40 million people who rely in part or in full on the Colorado River and its tributaries for their municipal water supply. Many of these agricultural and especially municipal uses occur outside of the physical basin, supplied through transbasin diversions. The hydropower facilities at major dams together generate over 10,000 megawatt-hours annually (enough to supply about 1 million households) when reservoirs are full. A 2014 study estimated the total economic activity across the seven basin states supported by Colorado River water to be $1.4 trillion annually.

Today's extensive human uses of the river are predicated on an equally extensive system of dams, reservoirs, diversion structures, canals, pump stations, and tunnels that was largely built between the 1930s and 1980s; the linchpins of the system are the enormous mainstem reservoirs Lake Powell and Lake Mead. The Bureau of Reclamation operates the major reservoirs, with many state and local entities helping to operate the system. In total, the reservoirs can store close to 60 million acre-feet, equivalent to about four years of average flow. The vast physical infrastructure controlling the river has developed in parallel with the complex legal and policy framework governing water allocation and operation of the system, known as the Law of the River.

In its natural state, the river was a muddy lifeline through a mainly arid region, distributing water, nutrients, and hundreds of millions of tons of sediment downstream and ultimately to the Gulf of California, creating an extensive and rich delta ecosystem. Dozens of endemic fish species were adapted to the relatively warm and turbid waters of the mainstem river and large tributaries. Riparian vegetation and associated species depended on periodic flood flows and flushes of sediment. By heavily regulating streamflows from the mountain headwaters to the mouth, the combination of infrastructure and policy has massively changed the geomorphic and ecological functioning of the Colorado River. The imperilment of federally listed species by these changes and other human impacts has prompted costly and continuing multi-agency conservation programs.

The current situation

Figure 2. Annual naturalized inflows (blue dots) compared to the annual total consumptive uses and losses (red line) for the Colorado River Basin, 1980-2022.The blue shows a smoothing filter on the annual inflows, emphasizing the decadal-scale variability in inflows. The green line shows the volume of annual flows that reached the Colorado River delta. From 2000 to 2022, the inflows were lower than the consumptive uses in 16 of 23 years, leading to the reservoir drawdown shown in Figure 3. (Image: Jack Schmidt, Center for Colorado River Studies, Utah State University)

Figure 3. Total storage in Lake Powell and Lake Mead as of September 30th of each year, 1980-2021. (Image: Jack Schmidt, Center for Colorado River Studies, Utah State University)

The total consumptive use of water from the Colorado River Basin increased by 50% between 1960 and 1990, to 14 million acre-feet, due to rapid growth in southwestern cities, new agricultural diversion projects, and additional evaporation from new reservoirs, including Lake Powell. These annual depletions exceeded the inflows during a 5-year drought from 1988-1992, leading to a drawdown of Lake Powell and Lake Mead, but several very wet years later in the 1990s refilled the reservoirs. Starting in 2000, an extended dry period exacerbated by warming temperatures--the early 21st-century megadrought--saw average annual streamflows that were about 20% lower (~12 million acre-feet) than the long-term average, driven by especially low flows in 2000-2004, 2012-2013, 2018, and 2020-2022.

During this period of chronically low inflows, full water deliveries to the Lower Basin states (California, Arizona, Nevada) and Mexico continued, while Upper Basin water use stayed relatively constant as well. As a result of depletions exceeding inflows in most years, system storage has declined to levels never seen except in modeled future scenarios. As of October 2022, Lake Powell is at 25% of capacity, uncomfortably close to the minimum level for producing any hydropower--and possibly for reliably delivering any water downstream. Lake Mead is at 28% of capacity, also close to its minimum power pool, and like Powell closer to dead pool (i.e., unable to deliver any water downstream) than to even half-full.

Under agreements made in 2007 and 2019 to forestall more severe system impacts, mandatory (Tier 1) curtailments of Lower Basin and Mexico water use were triggered for the first time in August 2021, followed by larger Tier 2 curtailments, totaling 0.7 million acre-feet per year, in 2022. These curtailments were deemed insufficient to alleviate the tenuous state of the major reservoirs, and in June 2022 the Commissioner of Reclamation to demanded that the seven basin states collectively reduce their annual water uses by an additional 2 to 4 million acre-feet in 2023. As of October 2022, there has been some progress by the states in committing to specific additional reductions or taking measures that would plausibly lead to reductions.

This short-term crisis has come to the forefront as Reclamation, the basin states, tribes, Mexico, and other stakeholders are revisiting the 2007 Interim Guidelines for operating Powell and Mead and sharing water shortages, in preparation for developing new long-term guidelines by 2026. The new guidelines will need to incorporate lessons from the post-2000 period, and accommodate the increasing influence of climate change on basin hydrology. Other complex challenges in the basin await further amelioration efforts if not durable solutions, such as unresolved tribal water allocations and infrastructure needs, endangered fish and other species, altered streamflow and sediment regimes below dams, and the shrinking Salton Sea.

Additional resources

Reclamation Colorado River Basin homepage

Includes links to recent Reclamation news releases, 1- to 5-year projections of system conditions

CBRFC Upper Colorado Situational Awareness

Dashboard shows late-fall soil moisture (map) and current snowpack (map); current water-year and month-to-date precipitation (maps); most recent forecasts of April-July and water-year inflows to Lake Powell; observed inflows to Lake Powell.

CBRFC Lower Colorado Situational Awareness

Dashboard shows current soil moisture (map) and current snowpack (map); current water-year and month-to-date precipitation (maps).